Excess Returns  cover image

Excess Returns

Tariffs, Fed Policy, and Finding Value in a Volatile Market | Lindsey Bell and Shannon Saccocia

Mar 13, 2025
Lindsey Bell, Chief Market Strategist at Clearnomics, and Shannon Saccocia, Chief Investment Officer at Neuberger Berman, discuss navigating market volatility and economic uncertainties. They analyze the impact of tariffs on business decisions and economic growth, highlighting consumer resilience amid evolving spending patterns. Predictions for GDP growth are examined, alongside the Federal Reserve's balancing act between inflation and growth. They also explore opportunities beyond tech stocks and emphasize the importance of international investments for broader portfolio stability.
01:03:18

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Ongoing tariff discussions are creating significant business uncertainties that affect capital expenditures and overall economic growth.
  • Consumer resilience remains strong, with positive wage growth supporting spending despite inflationary pressures and cautious sentiment about long-term conditions.

Deep dives

Impact of Tariffs on Economic Growth

Tariffs present a complex challenge for economic growth, as their unpredictable nature creates significant uncertainty for businesses and investors. The evolving rhetoric surrounding tariffs can lead to a freeze in capital expenditures, with companies hesitant to commit to hiring or expansion when faced with an unclear regulatory environment. A noteworthy concern is that the market requires clarity on tariffs to stabilize; without it, both investor confidence and business operations may falter. Investors are observing a shift in CEO confidence and small business sentiment, with many adopting a more conservative approach to decision-making in light of tariff uncertainties.

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