Mustafa Suleyman, a renowned thought leader on AI and synthetic biology, discusses the threats and opportunities posed by these technologies, the competitive advantage they confer, potential regulatory interventions, and his motivations for writing the book.
Mustafa Suleyman discusses the potential dangers and benefits of AI and synthetic biology in his new book, 'The Coming Wave', highlighting their asymmetric impacts and hyper-evolutionary characteristics that make their containment challenging.
Salaman emphasizes the need for cross-industry collaboration, regulation, licensing oversight, and shared best practices to contain the risks posed by AI and synthetic biology, drawing parallels with successes in aviation safety and nuclear weapons control.
Deep dives
The Dangers and Promises of New Wave Technologies
Mustafa Salaman discusses his new book, 'The Coming Wave, Technology Power and the 21st Greatest Dilemma,' which explores the potential dangers and benefits of the latest wave of technologies. He emphasizes that while he is an optimist about technology, it is crucial to examine the potential downsides to fully harness its transformative power. Salaman highlights two fundamental technologies in this wave: artificial intelligence (AI) and synthetic biology. These technologies have asymmetric impacts, hyper-evolutionary characteristics, omni-use capabilities, and inherent autonomy, making their containment particularly challenging. However, he asserts that existing methods for containment, such as regulation and licensing oversight, can still be applied to address the risks.
The Evolving Capabilities of Large Language Models
Salaman discusses the progress and limitations of large language models, including their current lack of direct regard for truth, verification of facts, and built-in logic. He predicts that these deficiencies will be overcome, as models continue to evolve at lightning pace. He expects improved quality reasoning and the ability to hold multiple ideas in working memory. Salaman believes that the unprecedented capabilities of these technologies, along with their potential to enhance intelligence, creativity, and productivity, will positively transform society and drive progress.
Containment Challenges and the Need for Collaboration
Salaman highlights the unique challenges of containing AI and synthetic biology due to their lack of physical constraints and the ability of small groups to make significant progress without detection. However, he points out that containment is feasible through cross-industry collaboration, regulation, licensing oversight, and shared best practices, as demonstrated by successes in aviation safety and nuclear weapons control. Salaman suggests that the US and Europe are likely to align in their approach to containment, while China may take a different path. He remains optimistic about the potential of these technologies while emphasizing the importance of planning and control.
Suleyman is a renowned thought leader on this topic, having co-founded Inflection AI and DeepMind, and having served as VP of AI product management and AI policy at Google.
Together with Martin Reeves, Chairman of BCG Henderson Institute, Suleyman discusses the threats and opportunities posed by AI and synthetic biology, whether and how they will confer competitive advantage, and how governments and companies can collaborate to contain their negative effects while ensuring that society reaps their benefits.
Key topics discussed:
01:28 | The threats of the coming wave of technologies
06:43 | A modern Turing Test for AI
10:14 | The competitive advantage conferred by AI
15:25 | The benefits and limitations of AI
18:34 | Containing the next wave of technologies
22:09 | Potential regulatory interventions
23:46 | Motivations for writing the book
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode