Decoding Geopolitics Podcast with Dominik Presl

#87 Ben Hodges: Russian Collapse Is Coming. They’re Bleeding Out Fast And Their Time Is Running Out

9 snips
Oct 11, 2025
General Ben Hodges, former commander of U.S. Army Europe, shares insights on the evolving war in Ukraine. He discusses how Ukraine's new strategies are shifting Western confidence and the detrimental impact of Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure. Hodges assesses Russia's manpower issues and opines that their ability to sustain the war is dwindling. He remains optimistic about Ukraine's prospects and emphasizes the importance of consistent Western support while critiquing Europe's response to Russian provocations.
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INSIGHT

Russia Cannot Sustain Breakthroughs

  • Russia lacks the operational depth to break Ukrainian defenses and exploit gains.
  • Their high casualties with minimal territorial gain show failing offensive capability.
ADVICE

Target The Shadow Fleet

  • Disrupt the shadow fleet moving Russian oil to third countries to squeeze Moscow's war finances.
  • Targeting exports and shadow shipping would amplify Ukraine's strikes on refineries.
INSIGHT

Vastness Is A New Vulnerability

  • Ukraine now can routinely strike major Russian refineries at long ranges.
  • This creates strategic vulnerability because Russia cannot cover its vast infrastructure everywhere.
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