
UBS On-Air: Market Moves
Viewpoints with Burkhard Varnholt - A global markets podcast (Ep. 35)
May 13, 2025
Burkhard Varnholt, a seasoned expert in global financial markets, shares insights on current trends in deal diplomacy and market recovery. He highlights the progress of US-China trade relations and its impact on investors. Varnholt discusses the intricate dynamics between the two superpowers, warning against overly optimistic expectations. He also reassesses the fears surrounding a potential US recession, emphasizing positive signs from markets and the resilience of businesses. His reflections inspire confidence in navigating today’s investment landscape.
09:24
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Quick takeaways
- The unprecedented speed of the recent stock market recovery highlights the resilience of U.S. businesses despite earlier tariff announcements.
- The evolving U.S.-China trade relationship underscores the need for cooperation, yet ongoing tensions reveal complexities in achieving definitive agreements.
Deep dives
Market Recovery Insights
The recent stock market recovery has been marked by an unprecedented speed and scope, making it one of the fastest recoveries in Wall Street history. This resurgence followed a period of pessimism after significant tariff announcements, demonstrating the resilience of U.S. businesses and investors. Additionally, global stocks outside the U.S. have fared well, particularly in Latin America, where markets have led with a 20% increase. This trend reflects a competitive spirit among countries, where external challenges may encourage regions to enhance their economic positions and leverage softening dollar conditions.