Daniel Davis Deep Dive Ukraine Allies Still Hope /Lt Col Daniel Davis
Jan 6, 2026
In a compelling discussion, the complexities of the Ukraine security framework and coalition talks in Paris are explored. The likelihood of a negotiated settlement remains low, emphasizing Russia's demands and the realities of current negotiations. Battlefield assessments reveal Ukraine's resource constraints and recent territorial losses, while tactical strikes on Russian infrastructure are discussed as having limited impact. Concerns about U.S. military capacity and international law erosion are raised, cautioning against overreach and advocating for strategic limitations.
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Coalition Talks Can't Replace Direct Talks
- Daniel Davis argues Paris talks with Western allies are meaningless without direct Russian engagement.
- He warns no negotiated settlement is possible until both Ukraine and Russia agree on common terms.
Manpower And Industry Decide This War
- Davis stresses battlefield losses and limited Ukrainian resources make victory unlikely without more manpower.
- He highlights production, troop numbers, and industrial capacity as decisive constraints.
Don't Inflate Tactical Success Into Strategic Power
- Do not equate a short, precise special operation with sustained national military capability.
- Recognize that wars of attrition require large manpower, stockpiles, and industrial sustainment before committing.