ChinaTalk Emergency Pod: What's Driving Putin, Sanctions, Drugs, Echoes from History, Xi, Chips
Feb 26, 2022
Chris Miller teaches at Tufts University and is a leading expert on Russian affairs, known for his book "Putinomics." He delves into the motivations behind Putin's invasion of Ukraine, discussing his isolated decisions and the disarray within his security council. The conversation also touches on the impact of sanctions on the Russian economy and the changing political sentiments in Russia, drawing parallels with historical events like Nazi Germany. Additionally, Miller explores the intricate dynamics of the Russia-China tech trade amid ongoing global tensions.
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Putin's Military Focus
- Putin's affinity for military power stems from its effectiveness in achieving his interests.
- Russia's military is its strongest asset, overshadowing weaker soft power and economic tools.
Invasion's Clumsy Messaging
- Chris Miller wasn't surprised by Putin's invasion, aligning with US intelligence and expert predictions.
- The invasion's clumsy justifications and lack of strategic messaging were unexpected.
Shifting Kremlin Dynamics
- Lavrov's smugness after Crimea contrasted with the fear displayed by officials in the recent security meeting.
- The uncoordinated messaging and invasion rollout suggests internal dissent within Putin's ranks.
