The AI Policy Podcast AI 2024 Outlook
Jan 23, 2024
Discussion of AI developments in 2024, potential breakthroughs and the future of AI. Exploring investment in AI startups and its implications, as well as the role of AI in elections. Italy's role in AI policy development, the G7 summit, and national security concerns surrounding AI.
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The Scaling Hypothesis Limits
- The scaling hypothesis means larger AI models improve predictably with more data and compute.
- However, costs escalate exponentially, challenging continued investment and efficiency in model scaling.
Future AI Breakthroughs Need New Architecture
- Major AI breakthroughs are less likely in 2024; current transformer architectures still have developmental runway.
- Artificial general intelligence will likely require fundamentally new AI architectures beyond transformers.
AI in 2024 Election Campaigns
- Ron DeSantis launched an AI chatbot modeled on himself as part of a campaign effort.
- Deepfakes and AI-generated misinformation, seen abroad, may influence U.S. elections with realistic fake audio and video.