Real Wealth Show: Real Estate Investing Podcast

Logan Mohtashami on Navigating the Housing Market, Economic Slowdown, and Government Policies

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Mar 20, 2025

Logan Mohtashami, a lead analyst at Housing Wire and recognized housing expert, delves into the current mortgage rates and housing market dynamics. He discusses the implications of economic slowdowns on these rates and explores the construction industry's challenges. Logan dispels myths surrounding tariffs and their impact on home prices, and compares today’s housing cycle to the late 70s and early 80s. He also highlights rising concerns about insurance and property taxes, emphasizing collaboration needed to support vulnerable homeowners.

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INSIGHT

Mortgage Rate Forecasts

Logan Mohtashami bases his mortgage rate forecasts on the 10-year yield.
He believes the White House wants lower rates to stimulate the housing market.

INSIGHT

Recession Indicator

A key recession indicator is residential construction worker job losses.
Falling rates can temporarily avert this, as seen last year.

INSIGHT

Builders' Pricing Power

Builders have limited pricing power due to rising active unit supply.
Tariffs and rising costs further complicate their situation.

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Join Logan Mohtashami, a renowned housing expert, as he breaks down the current state of mortgage rates, the housing market, and how government policies are shaping economic conditions. In this episode, Logan discusses the relationship between economic slowdowns and mortgage rates, the challenges facing the construction industry, and the dynamics of today’s labor market, including the impacts of deportation. He also clears up common misconceptions around tariffs and their effect on home prices, explains the differences between existing and new home sales, and highlights the rising concerns around insurance and property taxes. Logan also compares today’s housing cycle to past decades, particularly the late 70s and early 80s, offering valuable insights into the unique factors influencing the current market. Don’t miss this in-depth discussion!

LINKS:

OUR GUEST Logan Mohtashami: LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/logan-mohtashami-5167631/ Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/logan_mohtashami/ X: https://x.com/LoganMohtashami TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@loganmohtashami Threads: https://www.threads.net/@logan_mohtashami Website: https://loganmohtashami.com/

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