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Venturing into answering the world's biggest problems, focusing on inequality of opportunities, sustainability, mental and physical well-being crises. Aligning with global trends offers new opportunities and addressing critical issues.
Adam evaluates startups based on team, business model, unit economics, deal terms, and alignment with his personal interests and values. Validation of the startup's mission and offering new opportunities to those with fewer opportunities are essential considerations.
Adam's AI investment decision factors include vertical proprietary data set, clear monetization path, reasonable valuation, and alignment with key market trends. Choices are driven by ensuring differentiation and measurable value creation.
Identifying surprisingly cost-effective marketing channels like TikTok, especially when targeting a younger demographic, due to its algorithmic reach and low-cost advertising options. Choosing the right channel depends on the target audience and product offerings.
Investing in AI companies is cautioned against due to overvaluation. Instead, the focus is on digitizing B2B supply chains to tap into significant growth potential with low current penetration levels. The emphasis is on deflationary digitization, particularly in B2B sectors, for long-term innovation and transformation.
The discussion navigates the realm of biotech, emphasizing preventative health approaches over biotech investments. Concerns around evaluations of biotech companies lead to a preference for digitizing B2B supply chains. The focus shifts towards sustainable business models and tangible differentiation for valued exits.
Delving into AI and technological advancements, it explores potential future trends like humanoid robots in warehouses within five years. The conversation extends to the evolving landscape of self-driving cars over the next five years and the gradual adoption of groundbreaking tech like asteroid mining and blockchain-based marketplaces for real-world assets.
Amid discussions on virtual assistants and AI integration, the significance of optimism towards technological advancements is highlighted. Embracing the transformative potential of tech innovations and the subsequent job evolution, the narrative underscores the positive impact on job creation and quality of life enhancements over time.
I had not done an Ask Me Anything (AMA) session in over a year which led to many questions on a wide variety of topics: AI, augmented reality, crypto, macro and much more.
Here are the key questions we covered:
• 00:01:44 Artificial Intelligence: Where are we now? Where are we heading? What is the timeline? Why is FJ Labs a way contrarian on the AI trend?
• 00:09:42 What's your perspective on augmented reality? Is the Apple Vision Pro a revolution? And what is the timing for that to filter into our day-to-day life?
• 00:15:28 What was the fundamental inspiration for me to start OLX?
• 00:20:45 Can you give us some context or details on Midas?
• 00:23:15 Is there any way for a small retail investor to invest in early financing rounds for startups? If yes, how?
• 00:24:44 At for pre-seed rounds, what should be the GMV to get your attention? Let's say a new marketplace. What GMV would be impressive in the first month, six months, and one year?
• 00:25:39 What do I expect to see at the seed round?
• 00:26:41 What’s the correct take rate?
• 00:27:56 What are my current perspectives on the crypto market?
• 00:34:43 Does FJ Labs have an activist approach when investing in startups? How are you supporting the founders?
• 00:38:03 Is there going to be a fiat currency crisis where the dollar will be replaced? Will something like BTC become the reserve currency?
• 00:41:18 Have you decided on your next adventure for outdoor travel that you'd like to tackle?
• 00:43:11 I've heard that a startup should recoup their fully loaded Customer Acquisition Cost (CAC) within 6 months based on the contribution margin and then triple that amount within 18 months. Could you confirm if these numbers are accurate?
• 00:44:30 What should the first 3-6 months of a new startup look like? Talk to potential customers? Generate demand? Build a prototype? Validate hypotheses? Etc.
• 00:46:33 Does FJ Labs have an anti-portfolio?
• 00:50:28 Do you have any thoughts on the longevity industry? Do you think platforms like Hims or Ro will evolve in that direction, or will there be a new player?
• 00:53:33 I’ve listed things that I heard you consider when rating a startup. (1.) Team (2.) Unit Economics, significant TAM (3.) Fair deal terms, reasonable valuation, (4.) is it beneficial to the world, aligning the general direction of global trends, offering new opportunities to those with fewer opportunities. Is there anything else?
• 00:55:02 What build did I play at Elden Ring?
• 00:56:00 Did you have any mentor in your angel investor career? If yes, who is it? And how does the person help you?
• 00:58:49 Are you tempted to invest in AI?
• 01:00:08 What’s the most overused buzzword that you can't stand?
• 01:00:37 What valuation of a company is risky, yet a bit safe and worth the squeeze?
• 01:01:27 Any particular places or people you prefer to keep up with your bio health updates?
• 01:02:38 What is a surprisingly cheap and effective marketing channels?
• 01:03:50 As an investor, doesn't make sense to look for opportunities other than AI even though AI is “hot” now?
• 01:05:53 What are the most incredible business opportunities you have seen in preventative health lately?
• 01:07:04 Can you name successful blockchain based marketplaces that work with goods other than NFTs?
•01:11:39 Regarding Firgure.ai, when, in your opinion will we see humanoid robots in our daily lives? 3 years? 5 years? 20 years?
•01:14:15 Do you think asteroid mining is an industry that will become feasible or profitable within our lifetime?
• 01:16:08 We continue to see economic sentiment down, given the cost of money felt by consumers. Curious, given how you feel, especially the dire US consumers in Macroeconomic update where you see bright falls, bright spots in the landscape?
• 01:19:35 Whom do you think had the most impact on your investing thesis?
• 01:21:16 Is there something you've seen in recent startup pitches that you think the general public should know?
• 01:23:00 When it comes to crypto, how game changing do you consider the ETFs to be going forward?
• 01:24:22 What is the ideal number of founders per startup? Two, with one being technically oriented the other more focused on people and sales?
• 01:25:43 What are the most important skills that students should develop in order to work as an analyst in a VC fund? What are the qualities you're looking for when recruiting graduates?
• 01:27:34 If you live in a different time past or present, what do you think you would do professionally or future?
• 01:32:08 My main competitor received ~$200 million in recent debt round in 2021, and $490 million in 2019 led by SoftBank. I think that's a good sign for me because they started 2007.
• So now they're too big and too slow. My startup is like a small pirate ship that can easily change direction, add new features, et cetera. Am I wrong?
• 01:36:54 Investing in France: What do you think of the system?
• 01:37:48 What do you think of digital biology?
• 01:38:41 With your milestone birthday coming up, I can't wait. What adventurous ambitions are you most looking forward to in the next half century?
• 01:40:14 What is the dream guest you would like to have on the Playing with Unicorn podcast and why?
• 01:44:58 Can you share the acceptance percentage of FJ Labs for the pre-seed and seed rounds? What are the chances that you will be invited to poll with your team?
• 01:47:53 What is the last job to be replaced by AI robots?
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