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Investing Insights

Why Picking Top Stocks Is Not Enough

Jul 26, 2024
Jack Shannon, a senior manager research analyst at Morningstar Research Services, discusses the struggles of active fund managers in picking winning stocks. He reveals that even with high hit rates, many funds underperform due to high fees and market concentration. Shannon explains how active mutual funds can lag behind passive ones, and he highlights the potential of small-cap stocks for better returns. He also explores the complexities of stock selection, making a compelling case for why amateur investors might benefit from professional insights.
12:45

Episode guests

Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Despite some fund managers winning with individual stock picks, their overall performance often underwhelms due to poor positioning and high fees.
  • Investors must critically assess the hit rates and past performances of active funds, as high past success does not guarantee future outcomes.

Deep dives

The Challenges of Stock Picking

Amateur and even professional investors face significant challenges when trying to pick winning stocks, as evidenced by research indicating that many active fund managers struggle to outperform their indexes. An investigation revealed that although around two-thirds of the biggest bets made by fund managers were on winning stocks, less than a third of the funds managed to achieve overall market outperformance. The findings suggest that not only are high fees associated with active management a factor, but there is also a broader issue of a lack of winners within the rest of their portfolio. Consequently, a deeper understanding of the hit rates associated with the remaining stock picks in a portfolio is crucial to evaluating the overall performance of active funds.

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