A European Shift: Are UK Attitudes Towards the EU Changing?
Dec 12, 2024
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Mark Leonard, co-founder and director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, discusses shifting UK attitudes towards the EU. He reveals how growing global uncertainties are fostering a pragmatic approach, with most voters supporting compromises on free movement for trade benefits. The conversation explores a renewed desire for closer UK-EU ties, particularly in defense and economic matters, highlighting the public's inclination toward aligning with Europe rather than the US.
Recent polling indicates a significant majority of UK voters, including Brexit supporters, favor compromises on free movement for enhanced trade relations with the EU.
The growing public sentiment across Europe shows increased willingness for collaboration with the UK on security issues, reflecting a response to recent geopolitical tensions.
Deep dives
The Shift in UK-EU Relations
There has been a significant shift in public attitudes in the UK towards the European Union, influenced by recent geopolitical events, including Russia's invasion of Ukraine and the potential return of Donald Trump. A recent poll shows that a majority of British citizens, including many who voted for Brexit, now support compromising on free movement in exchange for better trade relations. This pragmatic approach reflects a growing recognition that a closer relationship with Europe is essential for addressing security and economic challenges. Moreover, there is considerable support for cooperation on issues like migration and defense, indicating a willingness to move beyond the divisive nature of the Brexit debate.
Pragmatism Among European Voters
Polling data indicates that a significant portion of the European public is also inclined towards developing closer ties with the UK, especially regarding security arrangements. Countries like Germany and Poland show majorities in favor of a deal where the UK gains special access to the EU single market in exchange for commitments on security cooperation. This shift in sentiment is partially driven by the recognition that collective action is necessary to address shared concerns following recent geopolitical tensions. The evolving public opinion demonstrates that citizens across Europe are increasingly willing to consider pragmatic solutions despite the political rhetoric that surrounds Brexit.
Navigating US-European Relations
The potential of a Trump administration returning to power raises concerns regarding the future dynamics of US-European relations and Britain's position within that framework. With the belief that an 'America First' policy could lead to tensions, British citizens are inclined to look towards their European neighbors for economic and security collaboration. Most British people express reluctance to follow a hardline approach akin to Trump's policies, particularly concerning military and economic matters. This suggests that the UK may need to prioritize its European relationships to mitigate the risks associated with being caught between competing US and EU interests.
A new poll says a majority of both pro- and anti-Brexit voters would support compromises on free movement in return for more trade. So is a more uncertain world shifting opinion on the EU? We discuss with Mark Leonard, co-founder and director of the European Council on Foreign Relations, which carried out the research. Hosted by Yuan Potts and Caroline Hepker.