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Kontrarian Korner

Kontrarian Korner #23 - Le Shrub

Oct 17, 2024
Le Shrub, an insightful Substack author and Twitter personality, dives deep into the volatile world of commodities and markets. He discusses his unique investment strategy in oil and examines political implications on markets, particularly around potential Trump trades. Platinum emerges as a favorite inflation hedge, especially with Costco's play in the market. He also shares thoughts on coal stocks and spotlights tin as an underappreciated opportunity. Keep an eye on China, he suggests, as it may signal broader market shifts.
52:21

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Podcast summary created with Snipd AI

Quick takeaways

  • Geopolitical risks and potential supply constraints in oil markets are crucial for investors to understand to navigate price volatility effectively.
  • Platinum's unique positioning as both an industrial and precious metal, along with its historical price dynamics, presents intriguing investment opportunities.

Deep dives

Geopolitical Risks and Oil Markets

Geopolitical risks related to oil markets have become a significant concern for investors. Historically, relying on these risks as an investment thesis has often led to poor performance for oil bulls, especially with the ongoing instability in the Middle East. Despite this, there is a growing realization that a single catastrophic event, such as an attack on a refinery, could unexpectedly shift oil prices. Consequently, some investors are considering options to hedge against potential volatility, even amidst high current market conditions.

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