355. How to start a campaign, Gisele Pelicot, and the biggest surprise of 2024
Dec 26, 2024
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The podcast delves into the surprising shifts in political dynamics for 2024, revealing how climate change is losing traction with younger voters. It spotlights an inspiring campaigner advocating against sexual assault stigma, showcasing grassroots activism's power. The hosts share tips for launching a successful campaign, discussing social media strategies and memorable anecdotes. Cultural highlights, from culinary events to notable donations in the arts, add a vibrant touch to the conversation.
46:37
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Quick takeaways
The 2024 elections showcased incumbency as a liability, resulting in unprecedented electoral setbacks for ruling parties across various countries.
Climate change has significantly dropped in political priority, especially among younger voters, overshadowed by a focus on development assistance in emerging nations.
Deep dives
Surprising Election Trends of 2024
The elections of 2024 saw a significant shift in political dynamics, with incumbency becoming a liability rather than an advantage for governing parties. Every ruling party faced setbacks, which is unprecedented in recent history, leading to a decrease in electoral success across the board. Notably, countries like South Africa saw established parties, like the ANC, lose support and many incumbent leaders were ousted from power. This phenomenon raises questions about voter sentiment and how political landscapes can rapidly change.
Climate Change Takes a Backseat
Climate change has alarmingly diminished as a priority in political discourse, particularly among younger voters who previously considered it paramount. Despite global agreements like the Paris Accord aimed at limiting temperature rise, commitment to urgent action appears to have significantly waned, with countries producing increasing emissions. The recent COP meetings and discussions around climate action have not managed to capture public attention or drive significant change as they did in previous years. A shift in focus toward development assistance for emerging countries has overshadowed essential discussions on immediate climate responses.
Unpredicted Geopolitical Dynamics
The geopolitical landscape of 2024 deviated sharply from expert predictions, with conflicts in regions such as Syria and Israel illustrating profound unexpected outcomes. For instance, the Syrian conflict showcased an abrupt change where control quickly shifted from established leaders to emerging factions, defying previous power trends. Similarly, Israeli politics saw Netanyahu rise in popularity despite being unpopular previously due to the ongoing Gaza conflict, indicating a rapid and surprising turnaround. These events collectively highlight how complicated and fluid international relationships can be, challenging established narratives of stability.
Lessons from the U.S. Elections
The U.S. elections of 2024 revealed a transformed political landscape, where traditional campaign strategies were upended by the influence of social media and alternative platforms. Donald Trump's unexpected electoral strength demonstrated that traditional ground game tactics were sidelined, relying instead on online presence and media hearings. Astonishingly, Trump even garnered significant support from diverse demographic groups, contradicting earlier assumptions about voter preferences. This shift indicates a need for new strategies in political campaigning that align with changing voter engagement norms and behaviors.
Why has the environment fallen off the political agenda? What events caught geopolitical experts off guard in 2024? And, what advice would Alastair give to anyone looking to start their own campaign?
Join Rory and Alastair as they discuss all this, and more.
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