BiggerPockets Money Podcast

153: Bill Bengen (The Inventor of the 4% Rule) Talks Retirement, Past Crashes, and How You Can Withdraw Even More!

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Nov 30, 2020
Bill Bengen, renowned financial advisor and creator of the 4% rule, shares his insights on retirement planning and portfolio management. He explains how he devised the 4% rule and why it remains relevant today. The conversation highlights the impact of inflation and the psychological challenges retirees face during market downturns. Bengen also discusses the importance of strategic investment choices and diversification, while cautioning against the pitfalls of '1 more year syndrome'—a common retirement misstep.
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INSIGHT

The Origin of 4.5% Rule

  • Bill Bengen discovered the 4.5% safe withdrawal rate after analyzing over 200 portfolios over 30 years.
  • This rate ensures retirees do not outlive their savings in most historical scenarios, even in harsh markets.
INSIGHT

Inflation is Retirement's Biggest Threat

  • Inflation is more damaging than bear markets during retirement since it forces increasing withdrawals.
  • High inflation eras like the 1970s are the worst-case scenarios for retirees.
INSIGHT

Power of Small Company Stocks

  • Adding small company stocks to a portfolio historically boosts returns and safe withdrawal rates.
  • In some periods, small caps supported withdrawal rates as high as 25%, greatly improving retirement sustainability.
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