Run the Numbers

Running the Product-Market Fit Treadmill with Brian Balfour | Mostly Growth

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Nov 22, 2025
Brian Balfour, Founder and CEO of Reforge, brings his extensive growth expertise to the discussion about product-market fit. He introduces the concept of the Product-Market Fit Treadmill and how rising customer expectations make staying relevant increasingly challenging. Brian highlights AI's role in accelerating PMF collapse, provides insights on crafting effective frameworks, and shares how Reforge successfully launched five AI-native products with a lean team. The conversation is rich with strategic insights vital for startups navigating today's landscape.
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INSIGHT

Product‑Market Fit Is A Moving Threshold

  • Product-market fit is a moving threshold that increases over time due to rising customer expectations and competing products.
  • Companies must continuously widen the gap versus that threshold or risk sliding off the PMF treadmill.
INSIGHT

AI Causes Sudden PMF Spikes

  • AI can spike the PMF threshold rapidly, creating sudden collapse risk for incumbents.
  • Fast-changing AI expectations give incumbents little time to adapt, producing negative flywheels like Chegg experienced.
ADVICE

Assess Your Risk Of PMF Collapse

  • Assess PMF collapse risk across multiple factors like switching costs and adopter type.
  • Use that assessment to prioritize where to invest or pivot before a sudden competitive shift arrives.
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