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Two Quants and a Financial Planner
Practical Lessons from Larry Swedroe | Why Evidence Beats Market Narratives
Jan 6, 2025
Larry Swedroe, a leading voice in evidence-based investing, shares insights on why decisions should be data-driven, not narrative-driven. He discusses the common failures of market predictions and the concept of bifurcated market valuations. Swedroe emphasizes the importance of enduring long-term underperformance and the unique risks in portfolio building. He also critiques the reluctance of many investors to engage with illiquid assets and provides a compelling defense for value investing in today's market.
01:02:41
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Quick takeaways
- Investment decisions should rely on empirical evidence rather than speculative narratives or popular opinions to ensure long-term success.
- Recognizing the limitations of market forecasting is essential, as relying on predictions can lead to misguided investment strategies and decisions.
Deep dives
The Importance of Evidence-Based Investing
Successful investing should be grounded in evidence-based strategies rather than opinions from popular figures or speculation. Investors should ensure their decisions are backed by data, promoting a diversified portfolio that mitigates risk. A sound investment process is essential; the decision's quality should be judged independently of its outcome, acknowledging that losses may occur due to bad luck rather than flawed reasoning. Emphasizing evidence over speculation helps investors make informed choices, especially in volatile markets.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode