Head of Insure AI at Munich Re, Michael Berger, discusses quantifying and managing AI risk. Topics include evaluating risks in AI projects, minimizing uncertainties, incorporating uncertainty information in AI predictions, and adopting new AI methods for increased confidence in applications.
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Quick takeaways
Assessing and mitigating risks is crucial for achieving ROI in AI projects.
Quantifying risks involves evaluating factors like predictive performance, fairness, operational costs, sustainability impacts, and cybersecurity vulnerabilities.
Deep dives
Importance of Considering Risk in AI ROI
When embarking on AI projects, it's crucial to assess and mitigate risks to ensure a positive return on investment. Investments in AI involve costs for data acquisition, model building, maintenance, and cloud deployment. Uncertainty in AI performance and potential liabilities, such as discrimination issues, can impact the expected returns. Evaluating risks upfront enables companies to make informed decisions on pursuing AI projects or sticking with traditional approaches.
Quantifying Downside in AI Projects
In AI projects involving significant investments, understanding potential failure points and their consequences is key. For instance, in predictive maintenance applications, failures could lead to defective products. Quantifying risks involves considering factors like predictive performance, fairness, operational costs due to model retraining, sustainability impacts, and cybersecurity vulnerabilities. By evaluating these factors, businesses can weigh the downsides against the benefits of AI applications.
Enhancing Predictive Performance through Uncertainty Analysis
A paradigm shift in AI models involves providing uncertainty information along with predictions, moving beyond simple yes/no outcomes. This shift allows for assessing prediction intervals that reveal confidence levels in the model's outputs. By incorporating uncertainty analysis, AI applications can improve decision-making in critical areas like healthcare, fraud detection, and other sensitive domains. Embracing uncertainty information enhances trust in AI applications and supports better risk management strategies.
This is the second episode of our five-part series on achieving ROI, with early AI projects taking place this week. This series brings together great perspectives from various leaders around advice that can help us bypass typical mishaps to achieve AI ROI. Today’s guest is Michael Berger, Head of Insure AI at Munich Re. Munich Re is a $60B insurance giant heavily invested in cyber insurance and AI insurance. This episode focuses on risk and, more specifically, what kinds of questions we can ask upfront to screen for risk. Michael also provides advice for enterprise leaders in various industries to make smarter decisions regarding risk. During this special series week, we are giving away some of our AI ROI reports here at Emerj. Be sure to tune in until the end of this episode to learn more about these offers for our listeners and subscribers.
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