The Inside Story Podcast What does Lebanon's new government mean for Hezbollah?
Feb 9, 2025
David Wood, a senior Lebanon analyst at the International Crisis Group, Lorenzo Trombetta from ANSA, and military expert Elijah Magnier dive into Lebanon's pivotal shift with a new government sidelining Hezbollah. They discuss the implications for Hezbollah's political influence and military strategy amid changing regional dynamics. The trio examines Lebanon's sectarian politics, the new government's challenges in governance reform, and the critical socio-economic issues facing the nation, signaling a potential new era in Lebanese politics.
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Hezbollah's Indirect Influence
- Hezbollah, though sidelined, maintains influence in the new Lebanese government by backing certain ministers.
- This tactic offers political flexibility while avoiding direct ministerial positions.
Hezbollah's Shifting Power
- Hezbollah and Amal still hold sway by controlling the finance minister position, granting veto power over spending.
- However, no single faction can now collapse the government, and Hezbollah's Shia minister selection differs.
Hezbollah's Weapons and Strategy
- Hezbollah retains a substantial arsenal but won't use it internally or against Israel currently, prioritizing reconstruction.
- Their strategic focus has shifted domestically, prioritizing border engagement with Israel.