School of War

Ep 180: Stephen Kotkin on Endgames in Ukraine

74 snips
Feb 25, 2025
Stephen Kotkin, a Kleinheinz Senior Fellow at the Hoover Institution and author on Russia, dives into the intricate dynamics of the Ukraine conflict. He argues both sides have incurred significant losses and discusses the urgent need for a new path to peace. Kotkin examines the pressures on Putin and the strategic complexities affecting U.S. foreign policy. He also highlights the roles of NATO and European allies in shaping geopolitical responses, emphasizing the growing need for coherent strategies in a shifting landscape.
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INSIGHT

Mutual Loss

  • Both Ukraine and Russia have lost the war in different ways.
  • Ukraine lost territory, while Russia suffered immense casualties without significant gains.
ADVICE

Pressure Points

  • Pressure Putin to negotiate a deal that benefits all parties involved.
  • Focus on Russia's economic vulnerabilities to exert leverage.
ANECDOTE

The Afghanistan Example

  • Biden's withdrawal from Afghanistan damaged his popularity.
  • Trump's similar approach in Ukraine could have the same effect.
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