Dmitri Alperovitch and "World on the Brink: How America Can Beat China in the Race for the Twenty-First Century"
Jul 11, 2024
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Dmitri Alperovitch, Chairman of Silverado Policy Institute, discusses strategic implications of Taiwan, failure to deter invasion in Ukraine, perceptions of American weakness in foreign relations, and strategies for victory in the new Cold War against China. The conversation emphasizes the importance of alliances, deterrence, and managing policies towards China and Russia to strengthen global containment strategies.
Focus on China as the primary threat to the US in the 21st century.
Taiwan issue distinct from Ukraine, China's strength perception influenced by policies.
Enhance deterrence in economic, diplomatic, military arenas to manage conflicts effectively.
Deep dives
Focus on China as the Main Threat
Dmitri Alparovich discusses his book 'World on the Brink' emphasizing the importance of focusing on China as the main threat to the United States over the course of the century. He asserts that having a strategy to win the new Cold War with China is crucial, highlighting the significance of addressing the challenges posed by the growing power of China.
Lessons from Ukraine for Taiwan
Alparovich highlights potential lessons from Ukraine for Taiwan, mentioning that the Taiwan issue is distinct and not necessarily impacted by events in Ukraine. He suggests that the risks and magnitudes of the conflicts differ, and that China's perceptions of strength and weakness are influenced more by declarative policies and capabilities rather than external events.
Containment Strategies for Russia and China
Discussion shifts to the idea of containment vis-à-vis Russia and China. While the need for deterring Russia in Europe is acknowledged, it is also noted that containing Russia in Europe does not necessarily conflict with efforts to deter China. The focus on Europe's military role in deterring Russia is emphasized as crucial for overall containment strategies.
Enhancing Deterrence and Leverage
The importance of enhancing deterrence measures in economic, diplomatic, and military spheres is highlighted to manage conflicts with China effectively. Emphasizing the need to make China more dependent on the United States for critical technologies and maintaining strong alliances is seen as key to managing the new Cold War.
Optimistic Outlook on US Capabilities
Alparovich expresses optimism regarding the U.S. position in the new Cold War, emphasizing that America has the elements for victory over its adversaries. He underscores the importance of preserving the status quo, enhancing deterrence measures, and leveraging economic power to manage and contain China effectively for long-term stability.
On this week's episode, Max and Michael Kimmage sat down with Dmitri Alperovitch, chairman of Silverado Policy Institute, to discuss Dmitri's recent book, "World on the Brink: How America Can Beat China in the Race for the Twenty-First Century." Recorded on July 2, 2024, the conversation covers the geopolitical parallels between the European and Indo-Pacific theaters today, and what the dual strategic challenges emanating from Moscow and Beijing mean for Western policymakers.