Dream Podcast - NFL Preseason Current Reactions + Best Bets
Aug 16, 2023
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RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, AJ Hoffman, Steve Fezzik, and Mackenzie Rivers discuss the NFL preseason, analyzing recent moves, quarterback performances, value betting on players, and the challenges of betting on preseason games. They also have a lively discussion about classic movies from the 70s and 80s, and share insights on the Super Contest and negotiation strategies.
Trey Lance showed both promise and areas for improvement in his preseason performance as a rookie quarterback for the San Francisco 49ers.
The Philadelphia Eagles have become the favorites against the Cleveland Browns in their upcoming preseason game, with the line moving in their favor.
The Miami Dolphins have become underdogs against the Atlanta Falcons in their preseason game, with the line favoring the Dolphins.
The Indianapolis Colts are currently favored against the Chicago Bears in their preseason game, with the line moving in favor of the Colts.
The Green Bay Packers are now slight favorites against the New England Patriots in their preseason game, with the line moving in favor of the Packers.
Deep dives
Trey Lance struggles in preseason game
Trey Lance had a disappointing performance in the preseason game, with several missed opportunities and three-and-outs. His hesitancy to pull the trigger and pass quickly led to four sacks. However, there were some encouraging moments, like a 40-yard dart in traffic that showed improvement. Overall, he has areas to work on, but there is still optimism for his development.
Mixed performance from other rookie quarterbacks
C.J. Stroud showed promise with a solid performance, while Malik Cunningham, an undrafted free agent, impressed with his running abilities. On the other hand, Bryce Young and Sam Howell had subpar outings, struggling with their decision-making and failing to move the ball effectively. Overall, it was a mix of both encouraging and disappointing performances from the rookie quarterbacks.
Sam Darnold and the Colts' quarterback situation
Sam Darnold took over in the third quarter for the Indianapolis Colts but failed to make an impact, leading to zero points on the board. While his chemistry with the team seemed rejuvenated, his performance overall was underwhelming. As for the Colts' quarterback situation, there is a debate between Trey Lance and Sam Darnold for the backup role, with opinions divided on who should be the primary backup to Jimmy Garoppolo.
Observations from the preseason game
One noteworthy observation was the large contingent of San Francisco fans in attendance. Trey Lance's performance garnered mixed reactions, with fans looking for more decisive decision-making and quicker passes. Additionally, the body language and energy of the team improved during the second half with Sam Darnold at quarterback. Overall, the preseason game provided both encouraging signs and areas for improvement for the San Francisco 49ers.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Cleveland Browns
The Philadelphia Eagles are currently favored by three and a half points against the Cleveland Browns. The line opened at Eagles -1 and has since moved in favor of the Eagles. The Eagles have been generating some buzz with their joint practices against the Browns, and bettors are showing confidence in the Eagles by betting them up to a larger favorite.
Miami Dolphins vs. Atlanta Falcons
The Miami Dolphins opened as underdogs against the Atlanta Falcons, but the line has since moved in favor of the Dolphins. They are now three-point underdogs. There has been a trend of overs in preseason games featuring teams that have had joint practices, and the Dolphins-Falcons game fits into that trend. However, the Dolphins have been struggling and the over may not be as certain.
Indianapolis Colts vs. Chicago Bears
The Indianapolis Colts opened as two and a half point favorites against the Chicago Bears, but the line has moved up to Colts -3.5. The Colts have historically struggled in the first week of the preseason under head coach Frank Reich, and this trend has contributed to the line moving against the Bears. However, it's important to note that the Bears have a questionable backup quarterback situation, which may have affected the line movement.
Green Bay Packers vs. New England Patriots
The Green Bay Packers opened as slight favorites against the New England Patriots, but the line has since moved in favor of the Packers. They are now three-point favorites. This line movement suggests that bettors have more confidence in the Packers compared to the Patriots. The Packers are known for their strong home field advantage, which may have influenced the line. It will be interesting to see how the game plays out with the Packers starters expected to play and uncertainty surrounding the Patriots' lineup.
Denver Broncos vs. Minnesota Vikings
The Denver Broncos opened as one-point favorites against the Minnesota Vikings, and the line has moved up to Broncos -4.5. This significant line movement indicates that bettors are showing more faith in the Broncos compared to the Vikings. The Broncos have been receiving some attention, and their performance in the preseason against the Vikings may have influenced the line movement. However, it's important to consider how both teams perform in their next preseason games before making firm judgments.
Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Seattle Seahawks opened as 3.5-point favorites against the Dallas Cowboys, and the line has since moved up to Seahawks -7. This substantial line movement suggests that bettors have strong confidence in the Seahawks. The preseason trend of betting on straight up losers from the previous week against straight up winners may have influenced this line movement. The Seahawks are expected to play their starters, while the Cowboys may have more uncertainty surrounding their lineup.
RJ Bell, Scott Seidenberg, AJ Hoffman, Steve Fezzik and Mackenzie Rivers take a look at all the NFL preseason action and react to what they saw. Best bets as always. Plus, Pregame.com LIKE Super Contest update.