The TreppWire Podcast: A Commercial Real Estate Show

306. Tackling the Headlines: Trade, Tariffs, Office Narrative Turnaround

43 snips
Feb 7, 2025
This week, the hosts dissect economic trends, including rising job openings and manufacturing data, alongside the effects of tariffs on commercial real estate. They share insights into the office market's return to optimism, discussing major transactions like Blackstone's Midtown buy and a significant office-to-residential conversion. Retail news features Walmart's mall acquisition and Amazon's store closures. Finally, there's a lively chat about Super Bowl predictions along with market data for Kansas City and Philadelphia.
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INSIGHT

Mixed Signals for CRE

  • Mixed U.S. macro data signals for commercial real estate, with rising imports, labor market resilience, and manufacturing expansion.
  • Trade tensions and rising costs create headwinds, while employment and economic activity remain strong.
INSIGHT

Key Factors for Real Estate in 2025

  • The biggest question for real estate in 2025 is tariffs and market demand uncertainty, potentially impacting construction projects.
  • Focus on interest rates, construction spending, and consumer demand for potential market shifts.
INSIGHT

Positive Lending Trends

  • The Senior Loan Officer Survey indicates a gradual easing in lending standards from commercial banks, potentially suggesting a credit growth rebound in 2025.
  • This modest increase in bank lending is positive for the market, following a pullback in 2024.
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