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School of War

Ep 167: Dan Blumenthal and Kyle Balzer on China’s Nuclear Buildup

Dec 24, 2024
Dan Blumenthal and Kyle Balzer, affiliated with the American Enterprise Institute and co-authors of 'The True Aims of China’s Nuclear Buildup,' dive into China's expanding nuclear capabilities. They analyze the shift in China's nuclear strategy and its implications for U.S. foreign policy. The conversation highlights China's ambitions to reshape global order and discusses the urgent need for a robust American response. The duo also examines the effects on U.S. alliances and the prospects for future trade and nuclear modernization under new leadership.
33:33

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Quick takeaways

  • China's shift from minimum deterrence to an aggressive nuclear strategy significantly alters military dynamics and regional power in the Pacific.
  • The evolving nature of China's nuclear capabilities challenges U.S. foreign policy and could lead to a reconsideration of security alliances in East Asia.

Deep dives

China's Nuclear Buildup Dynamics

China's recent nuclear buildup marks a significant shift from its historical minimum deterrence posture to a more aggressive and refined nuclear strategy. Previously, China maintained a small arsenal with relatively less advanced intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs), but now it is constructing numerous new missile silos equipped with more accurate and longer-range capabilities. This evolution allows China to hold the continental United States at risk and employ precision strikes against military objectives, facilitating a broader military strategy in the Western Pacific without provoking an immediate American response. Such developments signal that China is not only focused on retaliating against potential strikes but is also seeking to assert its influence militarily in the region, thus reshaping the dynamics of power in the Pacific.

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