Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast

Stanislav Krapivnik: Russia's Permanent Divorce from Europe

Dec 16, 2025
In this engaging discussion, Stanislav Krapivnik, a former US Army officer and military-political expert from Lugansk, analyzes the transformative impact of the Ukraine conflict on Russia. He highlights the dynamics of attrition warfare, the complexities of European involvement, and the morale among Russian troops. Krapivnik also argues that the war has spurred a civilizational shift, pushing Russia away from the West. He stresses the risks of escalation if Europe intervenes and critiques the superficial nature of current diplomatic efforts.
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INSIGHT

Attrition Produces Late Explosive Breakthroughs

  • Attrition warfare grinds opponents down slowly then enables sudden large breakthroughs.
  • Stanislav Krapivnik compares current fighting to 1917 Russian collapse versus 1918 German disintegration.
ANECDOTE

How Huliaipole Fell By Flank And Attrition

  • Krapivnik uses the battle for Huliaipole to show how attrition and flank maneuver rolled up fortified lines.
  • Russian forces bypassed strong defenses by breaking thin northern lines and then rolling up fortifications from the rear.
INSIGHT

Desertion Signals Societal Breakdown

  • High Ukrainian desertion and morale collapse indicate systemic breakdown under sustained attrition.
  • Krapivnik cites 400,000 desertion cases and rising violence against conscription squads as evidence.
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