20VC: Why Large Seed Rounds Increase the Chances of Success | When to Sell in Venture | Why Multi-Stage Firms Do Not Do The Work | Is Europe Totally F****** and Why AI Means London Can Compete with the US with Hussein Kanji
Jan 20, 2025
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Hussein Kanji, Founder and Managing Partner of Hoxton Ventures, shares insights from his experience in venture capital. He discusses how large seed rounds can boost startup success rates and critiques the UK’s small funding challenges. Hussein reveals lessons learned from missing out on significant gains with Darktrace and how Deliveroo shaped his investment strategies. He examines the broken incentive structures in VC, the importance of hiring diversity, and speculates on the competitive landscape between Europe and the U.S. in tech funding.
Larger seed rounds significantly increase a startup's chances of achieving unicorn status by enabling effective scaling and resource allocation.
Emerging managers should prioritize capital deployment based on time allocation rather than focusing solely on reaching a specific fund size.
Investors must adopt a contrarian approach by focusing on long-term value creation amidst a market increasingly driven by momentum investing.
Deep dives
Correlation Between Funding and Success
There is a notable correlation between the amount of capital invested in a company and its likelihood of achieving unicorn status, with an average of around $300 million required to reach this achievement. This highlights that larger funding rounds may significantly increase a company's chances of success, especially in the current venture environment. The discussion suggests that the substantial financial backing allows companies to scale effectively, attract talent, and invest in necessary resources. These factors collectively improve the probability of creating a successful business in competitive markets.
Unique Landscape in Europe
The European venture capital scene has evolved significantly over the past decade, transitioning from a lack of viable funds to a more populated market. However, many of the new entrants tend to focus on momentum investing, primarily aiming for quick returns rather than long-term growth. This contrasts with established funds that prioritize building durable, successful companies. The challenge for new funds is to differentiate themselves and demonstrate a compelling value proposition in a landscape already filled with options.
Importance of Investing for Duration
It is essential for emerging managers to approach fundraising with the mindset of raising capital based on the time allocation of the fund rather than aiming for a specific fund size. This approach allows managers to begin investing sooner and operationalize their strategies with the funds they have gathered within a limited timeframe. By focusing on deployment rather than solely fundraising, managers can build a portfolio, generate returns, and demonstrate traction, enhancing their appeal to future investors. This tactic can significantly reduce the duration of the arduous fundraising process that many new funds face.
Building for Longevity and Contrarian Thinking
Successful venture capitalists must often adopt a contrarian approach, focusing on long-term value creation while navigating a market driven by triumphs in momentum investing. There are notable risks associated with herd mentality; thus, investors should be able to think independently and assess opportunities based on long-term potential. Fostering a strong conviction in a company's mission and strategy, regardless of prevailing trends, can yield outsized returns. This requires patience and the resilience to withstand short-term market fluctuations while working to build a sustainable business model.
Preparedness for Crisis Management
Venture investors should contemplate potential crises and establish contingency plans for their companies. This includes having a clear strategy for handling unexpected challenges, such as sudden departures of key personnel or shifts in market dynamics. Developing a list of potential buyers or key contacts within the industry can facilitate smoother transitions in case of abrupt organizational changes. Such preparations can mitigate risks and provide a roadmap for navigating complex circumstances while securing the future of the investment.
Navigating the Future of Venture Capital
The venture capital industry is facing an evolving landscape, especially with trends like AI becoming increasingly prevalent. Investors need to be adaptable and prepared for market fluctuations, which may include downturns reminiscent of previous economic cycles, such as the dot-com bubble. Being informed and strategically responsive can help investors identify opportunities for investment, even when the broader market perception seems unfavorable. By maintaining an awareness of changing dynamics, capitalizing on innovative companies, securing proper funding, and fostering growth, successful investors can position themselves for future successes.
Hussein Kanji is the Founder and Managing Partner of Hoxton Ventures, one of Europe’s leading early-stage firms with mega wins in the form of Darktrace and Deliveroo. Hussein cut his teeth in venture at Accel Partners in his early years.
In Today’s Episode with Hussein Kanji We Discuss:
1. How to Raise a Fund:
What are Hussein’s biggest lessons from his first fund taking 39 months to raise?
Why does Hussein believe you should fundraise for a set amount of time and not to achieve a certain amount of capital?
Does Hussein believe governments should be investing in venture funds?
What are the biggest mistakes Hussein sees emerging managers make when raising?
2. How to 10x a Fund:
What is Hussein’s formula for knowing when to sell an investment?
How did Hussein miss out on making $400M in Darktrace? What did he learn from it?
How much money did Hoxton make from Deliveroo? How did doing 37x on Deliveroo impact how Hussein invests today?
3. How to Build a Team in Venture:
Why does Hussein believe the incentive mechanism for young VCs is broken? Why do they just want to get cash out the door and not worry about quality?
Why is it hard to hire female partners today? What needs to happen for this to change?
What are the single biggest ways that venture partnerships break down? What went wrong between Hussein and his partner, Rob?
4. Is Europe Totally F*******:
Why does Hussein believe small seed rounds are a massive problem in the UK?
Why does Hussein believe the dire state of the London Stock Exchange is not a problem?
Why does Hussein advise companies that the best way to scale is in the US?
What advice would Hussein give to Keir Starmer on how to stimulate growth in the UK?
Why does AI mean that the UK can now compete with the US?
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