Chrome360 | THE FUTURE OF AIR POWER | Reflections on the Use of Modern Air Power | Lawrence Freedman
Jul 23, 2018
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Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor of War Studies at King's College London, dives into the evolution of air power since the Gulf War. He discusses the limitations of air strikes in Iraq and Kosovo, emphasizing the necessity for ground forces. The podcast explores the complexities of air warfare in the post-2001 era, particularly in the war on terror and its unpredictable challenges. Freedman also highlights the transformative role of UAVs in modern conflicts and reflects on how historical context is vital for understanding the future of air power.
The effectiveness of air power in conflicts has evolved, necessitating integration with ground forces to achieve military success.
The introduction of UAVs reshapes air operations, yet their limitations highlight the enduring importance of local dynamics in warfare.
Deep dives
Transformations in Air Power Post-Cold War
The end of the Cold War marked a significant shift in perceptions of military capabilities, particularly air power. The first Gulf War in 1991 highlighted the effectiveness and advancements in American air capabilities, demonstrating how air power could influence the battlefield even before ground forces engaged. The insights gained during this conflict revealed the complexities of utilizing air strikes, as initial strikes against leadership targets did not have the intended deterrent effect, while subsequent bombardments impacted Iraqi morale more substantially. The lessons learned emphasized the necessity of integrating air strategies with ground operations to achieve definitive military success.
Complexities of the War on Terror
The ongoing engagement of the United States and United Kingdom in global air operations has raised questions about the effectiveness of air power in resolving conflicts, particularly in the context of the war on terror. Initially focused on eliminating al-Qaeda, the military efforts evolved into complex engagements in Iraq and Afghanistan that highlighted the challenges of regime change and responsibility for post-war governance. The reliance on local forces to combat terrorist groups introduced complications, as allied interests often clashed with the local agendas of these groups. This situation creates an environment of perpetual conflict, where achieving sustainable political solutions proves elusive.
The Future of Air Power and Warfare
The evolution of technology, notably the introduction of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), is reshaping the landscape of air power, though it may not be as revolutionary as anticipated. While UAVs enable targeted strikes and provide new operational capabilities, they also confront limitations such as vulnerability and dependence on ground presence for effective governance. Current trends suggest that future military engagements will continue facing challenges, with many conflicts remaining rooted in local dynamics rather than advanced air capabilities. As strategic decisions play a crucial role in determining the course of warfare, unpredictability remains a constant feature in assessing potential future conflicts.
SIR LAWRENCE FREEDMAN, Emeritus Professor of War Studies, KING'S COLLEGE LONDON, on the use of air power from the First Gulf War to the present day, the importance of integrating air power into the broader political and strategic objective, and why our attempts at predicting the future are necessarily flawed.
RECORDED at the conference on THE PRESENT AND FUTURE OF AIR POWER, held on 8-9 May 2018 at the UNIVERSITY OF ST ANDREWS.
PRODUCTION | ChromeRadio in partnership with the INSTITUTE FOR THE STUDY OF WAR AND STRATEGY, SCHOOL OF INTERNATIONAL RELATIONS, UNIVERSITY OF ST ANDREWS | Producer - Catriona Oliphant | Post-production - Chris Sharp.
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