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VoxTalks Economics

S7 Ep58: Trading around geopolitics

Dec 13, 2024
The discussion dives into how Turkish exporters are capitalizing on reduced competition after international sanctions on Russia. It reveals how businesses navigate the complex landscape of logistics and payment amidst geopolitical tensions. The podcast examines the switch from using the dollar to the Turkish lira for trade invoicing, highlighting the nuanced market dynamics. Additionally, it explores the risks and reputation challenges faced by firms engaging with Russia, illustrating the intricate balancing act in 'trading around geopolitics'.
18:36

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Quick takeaways

  • Turkish exporters have experienced a 30% increase in exports to Russia, capitalizing on market vacancies left by Western competitors post-sanctions.
  • The shift to cash-in-advance contracts highlights Turkish firms' cautious approach to managing operational and reputational risks in trading with Russia.

Deep dives

Impact of Sanctions on Trade Dynamics

After the invasion of Ukraine, over 45 countries, including the EU, the US, Canada, and several Asian nations, imposed trade sanctions on Russia, targeting dual-use goods, luxury items, and exports that could bolster Russia's industrial capacity. However, Turkey remained outside this sanctioning bloc, maintaining its traditional balancing role between Russia and the West, which offered it economic opportunities. This divergence led to an increase in Turkish exports to Russia, particularly in sectors where European firms had previously dominated the market. The implications of this situation highlight Turkey's strategic position and its ability to supply markets left vacant by other exporters.

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