At Any Rate

Global Commodities: Metals headed for even greater heights

6 snips
Nov 21, 2025
Greg Shearer, Head of Base & Precious Metals Research at J.P. Morgan, dives into 2026's thrilling metals outlook. He forecasts gold soaring to $5,000/oz, driven by central bank buying and ETF inflows. The discussion also highlights copper’s impending tightness, with prices set to rise towards $12,500/mt due to supply disruptions. Shearer reviews silver and platinum trends, while cautioning about risks affecting gold, including rate sensitivity and demand fluctuations. A wealth of insights for investors and enthusiasts exploring the metal markets!
Ask episode
AI Snips
Chapters
Transcript
Episode notes
INSIGHT

Gold's Multi-Year Bullish Trajectory

  • Gold retains a structural, multi-year bullish outlook with prices seen heading toward $5,000/oz by 4Q26.
  • J.P. Morgan expects average quarterly investor and central bank demand of ~585 tons in 2026, supporting higher prices.
INSIGHT

Central Banks Drive Demand, But Needs Fewer Tons

  • Central bank buying remains foundational, with J.P. Morgan forecasting ~755 tons of purchases in 2026.
  • Elevated purchases are mechanical and may ease as higher prices require fewer tons to reach target gold shares.
ADVICE

Plan For Front-Loaded ETF Inflows

  • Expect ETF inflows to remain supportive and be front-loaded in 2026, with J.P. Morgan forecasting ~250 tons.
  • Positioning should consider potential Fed cuts and increased investor allocation to gold early in the year.
Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode
Get the app