Artificial Intelligence Masterclass

OpenAI is Imploding - What does this mean for the future of AGI? Here are my thoughts... | Artificial Intelligence Masterclass

Feb 1, 2026
This discussion dives into the recent turmoil at OpenAI and its implications for the future of AGI. It explores how leadership changes can reshape technology projects and the opportunities that arise from expert migration. Metamodernism and postnihilism are examined, challenging the search for meaning in a mysterious world. The conversation also emphasizes the ethical framework necessary for advancing AI, focusing on reducing suffering and increasing understanding. Key imperatives like exploration and elucidation drive the pursuit of knowledge.
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ANECDOTE

Sam Altman’s Leadership Role

  • Sam Altman’s charisma and vision are critical to organizing labor and inspiring people to achieve technological progress.
  • Leadership is reciprocal; an inspiring leader attracts expertise, which in turn strengthens their leadership.
INSIGHT

OpenAI’s Implosion and Talent Exodus

  • OpenAI is likely to fail after losing 80% of its staff, with many leaving for other tech giants.
  • The dispersal of talent signals the end of OpenAI as it currently exists and a scattering of expertise.
INSIGHT

Open Source Research vs Frontier Expertise

  • Over 90% of AGI research is open source, but training frontier models requires scarce, expensive talent and resources.
  • Expertise beyond what's in textbooks is critical, and cross-pollination of talent will enrich the field.
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