Sharp China with Bill Bishop

(Preview) A 90-Day Pause, Big Tariff Reductions and What De-Escalation Might Mean for the U.S. and China

May 13, 2025
A surprising 90-day tariff reduction between the U.S. and China is making waves in trade discussions. The new dialogue mechanism aims to tackle critical economic issues and foster communication. Insights reveal the perceived advantages for China amid this pause. The complexities of trade tensions are unpacked, highlighting historical contexts and strategic considerations. Key players' roles in upcoming negotiations are also examined, alongside the overarching implications for global markets.
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INSIGHT

90-Day Pause As Tactical Regroup

  • The 90-day tariff pause is viewed as a strategic regrouping period rather than a final resolution by both the US and China.
  • Both sides show readiness to extend or renegotiate based on progress, reflecting a more mature negotiation approach.
INSIGHT

Formal Dialogue As Chinese Win

  • The establishment of formal dialogue channels and specific negotiators is a significant win for China, as they value ongoing negotiation mechanisms.
  • The appointment of a vice minister of Public Security demonstrated China's willingness to engage seriously on critical issues like fentanyl.
INSIGHT

China Views Tariff Cuts as US Blink

  • China portrays the tariff reduction as a US concession and proof that steadfastness pays off.
  • Although tariffs remain high, China views the agreement as a first step and a diplomatic success.
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