

Markets Brace for Fed's July Decision; US-China Talks to Continue
Jul 30, 2025
Paul Donovan, Chief Economist at UBS Global Wealth Management, and Mark Heppenstall, President and CIO at Penn Mutual Asset Management, dive into crucial market dynamics. They discuss the Fed's potential hold on interest rates and the implications of dissenting opinions. The ongoing U.S.-China tariff negotiations are also on the table, with a looming deadline. Donovan highlights the fragility of the global economy, while Heppenstall emphasizes trust in bond markets despite current uncertainties. It's an insightful look at where markets may head next!
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Fed Rate Cut Timing Insight
- The Fed is unlikely to cut rates in July despite President Trump's calls for it.
- Rate cuts will likely be discussed for September instead, possibly with orchestrated dissension within the Fed.
Bond Market Rally Before Fed
- Bond yields fell as investors shifted from equities to bonds ahead of the Fed decision.
- Strong demand at a recent seven-year Treasury auction nudged bond prices higher and helped rally the bond market.
US Economic Stability Expected
- US macroeconomic conditions are stable despite a dip in GDP growth in Q1.
- Consumer spending should stabilize given a steady labor market and full employment conditions.