The Secrets of Statecraft

What Thucydides Can Teach Us About Politics And War | Hoover Institution

10 snips
Sep 29, 2026
Andrew Novo, a historian and strategic studies professor, revisits Thucydides beyond the usual quotations. They explore the Peloponnesian War, democracy’s vulnerabilities, the Melian Dialogue, Alcibiades’ disastrous Sicilian expedition, and the dangers of applying ancient history to America-China rivalry. The conversation also considers power beyond military strength, civil war, human nature, and a counterfactual Roman Empire ruled from Alexandria.
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INSIGHT

Why Thucydides Requires Context

  • Thucydides’ elite background shaped his skepticism toward democracy and sympathy for oligarchy.
  • His general claims become misleading when readers detach memorable lines from the narrative and its context.
ADVICE

Look Beyond The Thucydides Trap

  • Treat the Thucydides Trap as the beginning of analysis, not its conclusion.
  • Examine what power causes fear, which interests are threatened, and how leaders’ choices shape conflict between America and China.
INSIGHT

Melos Warns Against Athenian Hubris

  • The Melian Dialogue portrays Athens deliberately provoking war during a period of peace.
  • Its famous power claim precedes the Sicilian disaster, making the passage a warning about hubris rather than an endorsement of brutality.
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