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Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova
Kamala Mode, Misinformation, and Winning the WSOP
Aug 1, 2024
Jonathan Tamayo, a World Series of Poker Main Event winner, shares insights from his recent controversial victory. He discusses the intense scrutiny of poker's integrity and the complications surrounding player behavior and technology use. Meanwhile, Nate and Maria dive into Kamala Harris' political odds, exploring the impact of misinformation on voter sentiment and the unique challenges faced by women and minorities in politics. The blend of poker drama and political intrigue makes for a captivating conversation!
45:30
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Quick takeaways
- Kamala Harris's candidacy presents new opportunities for Democrats, particularly in swing states with key demographic support, compared to Biden's overestimated chances.
- The choice of Harris's vice presidential pick is crucial as it could significantly impact her election strategy and address voter concerns amid political volatility.
Deep dives
Transition to Kamala Mode
The discussion focuses on the recent shift from Biden to Kamala Harris as the Democratic nominee and its implications for the upcoming election. Harris currently has a 38% chance of winning the Electoral College, significantly higher than Biden's earlier projections. The analysis indicates that Biden’s chances were overestimated, as his campaign struggled with low fundraising and diminishing voter enthusiasm. The model's updates show that Harris's candidacy offers fresh opportunities for the Democrats, particularly in swing states, making her a more viable candidate than her predecessor.
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Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode