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Americano: can Trump really end the war in Ukraine?
Nov 13, 2024
Freddy Gray chats with Owen Matthews, the Russia editor for The Spectator, about the implications of Trump's potential presidency on the Ukraine war. They discuss Trump’s negotiating leverage with Putin and the dynamics of U.S. military aid shifting under his influence. The conversation delves into Europe’s defense capabilities and NATO's challenges amidst the ongoing conflict. Matthews highlights the roles of Poland and the Baltic states in shaping these discussions, revealing the complex geopolitical landscape surrounding Ukraine.
31:25
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Quick takeaways
- Trump’s strategy to pressure Ukraine into negotiations through military aid cuts may lack sufficient leverage over both Ukraine and Russia.
- Zelensky faces significant political challenges in negotiating peace, given the potential for domestic unrest and resistance from nationalist factions.
Deep dives
The Nature of Trump's Relationship with Putin
There is speculation surrounding a recent phone call between Trump and Putin regarding the situation in Ukraine, with uncertainty about whether it actually took place. Trump's objective appears to be to pressure both Ukraine and Russia into negotiations, suggesting he could withdraw military aid to Ukraine if they do not comply. However, this strategy raises questions about what Trump could realistically offer Putin that he does not already have through military action. The current military dynamics indicate that Russia is advancing in Ukraine, creating a scenario where Trump’s leverage over both parties may be insufficient to bring about meaningful negotiations.
