Risky Business with Nate Silver and Maria Konnikova Should You Be Able to Bet On the Election?
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Sep 19, 2024 A legal battle is underway as a prediction market company challenges the government on election betting. The hosts discuss the pros and cons of allowing bets on elections, comparing it to sports betting. They explore how perceptions of election closeness influence voter turnout, especially in critical swing states. With humor and personal anecdotes, they tackle the ethical implications of political betting and its potential to shape voter behavior and market integrity. Get ready for a thought-provoking yet entertaining dive into a controversial topic!
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Post-Debate Polls
- Harris leads national polls by approximately three points after the debate.
- However, the Electoral College bias favors Trump, making the race a toss-up.
Paths to Victory
- Pennsylvania remains a key tipping-point state, but other paths to victory exist for both candidates.
- Harris could win through combinations like North Carolina plus Nevada, or even Nevada, Arizona, and Alaska.
Alaska's Democratic History
- The last Democratic presidential candidate to win Alaska was LBJ in 1964.
- It was initially believed that Alaska would lean Democratic and Hawaii Republican, but the opposite occurred.