Everybody's Business

Trump's 4D Chess, Your North Korean Coworker, and Hard Celsius

Jul 31, 2025
Ken Rogoff, a Harvard economist and former IMF chief economist, shares insights on the surprising 3% GDP growth in the U.S., linking it to panic-driven imports amidst trade tensions. He humorously likens Trump's strategy to a 'coffee house player' in chess. Meanwhile, Evan Ratliff uncovers the risks of North Korean infiltrators in American tech firms, discussing the ethical dilemmas involved. The conversation also touches on the chaotic world of remote jobs, consumer confusion over beverage brands, and personal banking reflections, adding a mix of humor and serious analysis.
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INSIGHT

GDP Growth Distorted by Tariffs

  • The reported 3% GDP growth is influenced by prior panicked imports ahead of tariff deadlines.
  • Economic growth appears resilient despite tariff-induced uncertainty and slowed business investment.
INSIGHT

Trump’s Tariffs: Wild but Pragmatic

  • Trump’s tariff strategy mixes pragmatism with mercurial changes causing ongoing trade uncertainty.
  • Though tariffs hurt business investment, consumer spending remains relatively unaffected.
INSIGHT

Investment Delays Stall Growth

  • Business investment is subdued due to tariff and policy uncertainties, delaying economic expansion.
  • Investment decisions, like factory construction, take years to materialize and are currently on hold.
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