Join Andrea Mock, a data scientist at Aura, Gunnar Carlsson, a former Stanford professor, Samin Aref, a university assistant professor, and Zachary Neal, a psychology professor as they explore the intersection of mathematics and political coalitions. They discuss how simplicial complexes can model coalition stability, the nuances of cluster analysis in the U.S. House, and uncover hidden coalitions through bill co-sponsorship data. Their fascinating insights reveal the complex dynamics driving political alliances amidst the current election landscape.
Mathematical frameworks, like simplicial complexes, provide insights into the stability and dynamics of political coalitions in democracy.
The identification of a hidden bipartisan coalition among U.S. legislators highlights complex interactions that challenge traditional views of partisanship.
Deep dives
Modeling Political Coalitions with Simplicial Complexes
Simplicial complexes serve as a mathematical framework to model political coalitions by representing them as interconnected structures composed of vertices and edges. In this context, a vertex can represent political agents such as parties or voters, while the edges signify potential coalitions among these agents. This approach allows researchers to analyze how different configurations or coalitions may interact, revealing insights into the stability of various political structures. By using homology theorems, the study investigates the stability of configurations, emphasizing that more stable coalitions enable greater flexibility in political dynamics.
Identifying Hidden Group Dynamics in the House of Representatives
Recent analysis of voting records in the U.S. House of Representatives unveiled a previously unrecognized bipartisan group that suggests more complex interactions within party lines than originally assumed. Employing a data-driven method, researchers utilized algorithms to visually cluster voting patterns over a series of years, revealing anomalies and variances in bipartisanship. This process illuminated the fact that while partisan loyalties were evident, significant internal coalitions within the House existed, challenging oversimplified views of partisan behavior. Furthermore, the findings revealed that bipartisanship fluctuated over time, with some years showing stark divisions and others reflecting collaborative efforts.
The Role of Non-Traditional Legislators in a Polarized Environment
A significant discovery in the study of political alliances identified a third coalition composed of less-visible legislators who played crucial roles in facilitating bipartisan collaboration despite increasing polarization in Congress. These legislators, although not always in the media spotlight, are characterized by their effectiveness and ability to navigate complex legislative landscapes, highlighting the impact of local elections on broader political engagements. Their existence partly stems from a need for the majority party to address internal disagreements, allowing them to pursue more flexible ideologies. This insight underscores the importance of recognizing the contributions of quieter representatives in creating meaningful political change.
We in the United States are deep in the middle of a major national election, and over half of the world’s population also have elections in 2024. This is why Carry the Two is going to focus on the intersection of mathematics and democracy for our new season.
In this, the third episode of our mathematics and democracy season, we speak to Andrea Mock, Gunnar Carlsson, Samin Aref, and Zachary Neal. We dig into what mathematics has to say about the stability of political coalitions, how mediators can make coalitions more stable, the ways in which Democrats and Republicans can be clustered together in the House of Representatives based on their votes, and the hidden third coalition of really successful legislators in the House that co-sponsorship data can illuminate.