Becoming a superforecaster, decision science for better human predictions - Pavel Atanasov-the data scientist show#036
Daliana's Game
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Is the Super Forecaster a Better Predictor?
What matters is whether you have soper forecasters or not, but not whether you have a pol or a market. By the end, we had tweaged the markets and the poles well enough. Up until like, the systems were basically equal,. Even though they started at a different level. But by the time we had introduced the market maker and made the more selective, they or they were equal. And even the non selective markets and balls were also at an equal level as well. Yes. So who do you think will win? It turns out that the answer to that question is actually more predictive of the outcome than the answer to the question, hoWho you vote for? In 20
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