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How to Predict the Future

Statecraft

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Innovative Program Proposals and Strategic Red Teaming

This chapter focuses on the framework for high monitor questions designed to enhance the evaluation and proposal of innovative programs. It discusses the significance of red teaming in technology development and national security, emphasizing the necessity of independent assessments and vulnerability evaluations. The chapter also explores the role of IARPA within the intelligence community, highlighting the unique research opportunities it offers compared to traditional defense efforts.

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