The Importance of Diversity in Forecasting

Is it possible that you want different sort of mixes of cognitive styles to deal with different problems? In other words, if I'm trying to figure out what's going to happen with the totally mechanistic system like will a bridge fail under a certain stress test or something, wouldn't a mix of structural engineers out there be better than scientists at predicting that? If in the context of complex political future events, would you want the prediction market to also sort of mirror that mix? Does that make sense? Yes. And no, I don't think the political scientists would do as well on the bridge. It's a very funny sort of example. They don't make a mistake, but they make