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Stephen Grugett (Manifold Markets Founder) - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance
Dwarkesh Podcast
Do You Think Wall Street Firms Will Be Enticing to Hire Top Predictors?
A manifold uses a play money currency. We kind of see ourselves as a social game where people can come on to hone their skills at predicting and then demonstrate to others that they really do know more about what what they're talking about. I think the we have leader board right now, our top predictors are actually quite good. The person who's currently occupying the top slot is big on the russian iaon one of our markets, on whether russia would invade ukrane in february. Thereis a lot of like, untapped potential, am inde, in these top predictors, and that psyces like ours actually are able to identify them.
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