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26min chapter
Rajiv Sethi – Taking Bets on the Presidency
The Glenn Show
Election Forecasting: Models vs. Markets
This chapter explores the differing predictions around an upcoming election, contrasting statistical models with prediction markets. It highlights the complexities of arbitrage and the evolving nature of market information while emphasizing the need for understanding how individual and collective beliefs shape electoral outcomes. Additionally, it examines the implications of market activities on political betting and the visibility of Indian-Americans in the electoral landscape.
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Discover
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