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Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class I Part II [8.17.15]

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The Limits of Publicless Degree-Sening

The IROPA tournament was set up as a horse race. Five university based research teams competing to generate as accurate probability estimates as possible. So tournaments incentivize people to cross the usual academic boundaries. All sorts of different social science behavioral science statistical perspectives were brought to bear.

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