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Gerd Gigerenzer on Gut Feelings

EconTalk

The Profound and Disturbing Findings of a Randomized Control Trial

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The book Ending Medical Reversal was written by Adam Sifu and Vinay Prasad. In it, they look at observational studies that are used to make medical decisions. After a while, time passes and there's an opportunity to do a randomized control trial. They find something quite similar: Fancy complicated methods work best in explaining the past. The fast and frugal tree does better going forward.

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