Hal Brands Thinks China is a Declining Power... Here's Why that's a Problem
Democracy Paradox
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China's Confidence in International Affairs
The last thing you want to do is provoke war prematurely at a time when you have not yet reached the peak of your strength relative to your adversary. The more confident you are about the future, the more cautious you should be in provoking a clash in the here and now because things are just going to get better for you over time. That China, especially if it has articulated very big ambitions for what it wants to achieve, that China will be more incentivized to risk prone, risk-accepting behavior in the Here and Now.
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