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Butterfly Wings & Hurricanes: The GoodFellows & Andrew Roberts Revisit Historical Counterfactuals | GoodFellows | Hoover Institution

GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution

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Counterfactuals in History and Economics

This chapter explores the significance of counterfactuals in understanding historical events, particularly during the American Revolutionary War. It highlights key moments, such as the Battle of Saratoga, and considers alternative outcomes, including the implications of a British victory on future American developments. The discussion connects historical contingencies to broader themes in industry and governance, examining how these 'what if' scenarios can reshape our understanding of history.

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