8min chapter

Enter the Boardroom with Nurole cover image

85. Dan Gardner (part one) - superforecasting and fat tail risks

Enter the Boardroom with Nurole

CHAPTER

Mastering Uncertainty: The Art of Superforecasting

This chapter explores the phenomenon of superforecasting, showcasing the unique cognitive habits and traits that enable a select few to make remarkably accurate predictions in complex geopolitical scenarios. It emphasizes the importance of adopting a probabilistic mindset and intellectual humility to enhance forecasting abilities and navigate the uncertainties of the future.

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