Alex Lawsen—Forecasting AI Progress
The Inside View
00:00
How Do You Draw a Distribution?
I haven't protected on either of the metaculous, like, weekly, general and strongly general. Why should te peak be before a medium? Because, er, oh, if you have some weight er for like, 88 decades after your medium, then, er, you need to hae your peak before. If one of them can just be like weigh like further out than the other, you just need to have, like, need to be higher off on the left mixo of sense. Would you be open to discussing your distribution? Or at least, how do you go and draw distribution for this kind of things? I, i can discuss it a little bit, i think
Transcript
Play full episode
