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23 - Mechanistic Anomaly Detection with Mark Xu

AXRP - the AI X-risk Research Podcast

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Formalizing the Presumption of Independence

A paper that is called formalizing the presumption of independence authored by Paul Christiana Eric Diamond and yourself in this was on archive November last year. So suppose you have a list of quantities like a BCDE, et cetera, and you're interested in the product of these quantities. And so we want to be able to sort of make a best guess about how various quantities are related, presuming independence. But then if someone comes to us and is like, Hey, actually, if you notice that A is correlated with B, we want tobe able to revise our guests in light of this new knowledge.

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