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#28 Michael Mauboussin: A Decision Making Jedi

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

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The Inside Versus the Outside View

The inside verse of the outside view. Psychologists have said that what you should probably do is start with something called a bas rate, and basely asking the question, what happened when other people were in a situation before? And we all are sort of slow to to discount our own views of the world. So mtome its first trying to get your arms around the idea of base rates, identifying the data, but then understanding how to intelligent integrate the inside the outside.

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